So much of what we read about in the news and talk about on this blog is negative, so its a nice change of pace when I can talk about something good. This morning I was quite pleased to read that the Irish Republican Army has completed disarmament. The IRA hasn’t received much media attention lately, what with Al-Queda running rampant and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. But there was a time not to long ago when the IRA was one of the most feared terror organzizations. The fact that its violent time has apparently passed is great news for the world. The question now is to see if we can learn from the lessons of peace coming out of Northern Ireland, and apply them to Israel, Chechnya, and other terror hot spots around the world.

Kudos to all involved in the Northern Ireland peace process.

 

On the eve of yet another Category 4 hurricane making landfall in the Bible belt, I think it appropriate to reiterate one of my favorite modern-day parables:

A police officer pulled up in front of the house of a man who was sitting on his porch, reading his Bible. The officer says to the man “get in the car and come with me; a big storm is coming and everyone needs to evacuate”. The man replies “thank you for the offer, but I’m a man of faith and God will save me.” The officer continues to argue with the man for a few minutes, but when it becomes apparant that the man will not budge, the officer drives on. A few hours later the storm has started, the town is flooding quickly, and water is several feet deep on the roads. Some local fisherman come by on a boat, see a light on in the upstairs window of the man’s house, and yell at the man to come out and get in the boat so that they can get him to safety. The man again replies “thank you, but I’m a man of faith, and God will save me”. The fisherman realize there is no arguing with the man, and so they drive away as well. A few hours after that, the storm is really going, flooding has reached the tops of most of the houses in the neighborhood, and the man is sitting on his roof. A Coast Guard helicopter sees him, stoops low over him, lowers a ladder and the Guardsmen yell at the man to come aboard. Again, however, the man refuses help, saying that his faith in God would keep him safe. The winds start to pick up before the Coast Guard can force him aboard, however, and they fly off. Sure enough, the man drowns. So, he goes to heaven and he immediately asks St. Peter “I’m a good Christian man, I had faith that God would save me, what happened?” Peter answers him “We sent you a police car, a fishing boat, and a Coast Guard helicopter, why didn’t you save yourself?”

Keep that in mind as you read this article about those in Galveston who are refusing to evacuate. Being a Christian isn’t only about having faith that God will take care of you. It’s also about understanding that God presents us with choices and options, and it is up to us to take advantage of those options. So I’ll not only pray that God will take care of those in the path of this hurricane, but also that people will have the wisdom to notice Him working and to take advantage of the opportunities that they are given.

 

As Hurricane Rita’s trajectory shifted so that it looks like Houston may be spared a direct hit , authorities have noted the traffic congestion and are recommending that residents who have not already left the city stay put. (Its better to weather the storm in a house than in a car, and there are worries that people leaving now won’t actually get away because the traffic is so bad). Here’s another instance of failed logistics by the government — some people who may have wished to evacuate were unable to because of traffic and gas shortages. Let us hope that this doesn’t have too many negative ramifications for the people of Houston.

Those people staying home are trying to stock up on supplies, and that leads to shortages. Check out this blog which has pictures of the local grocery store and what it looks like after a panicked pre-hurricane buying spree. Of course, no supplies can get into the city now, because all of the freeways are outbound only . I appreciate the need to make all lanes outbound so as to facilitate evacuations, but the consequence is that supplies can’t make it into the city. This would be fine if there were no people left in the city, but since there are now people there who can’t leave, and a lack of supplies, and no new supplies going in…

Here’s hoping that Houston is spared the fate of New Orleans, that the hurricane passes with minimal loss of life and property damage. And lets hope that the infrastructure isn’t damaged too badly, so that the people trapped there can get supplies soon after the hurricane hits.

 

The absurdity of Republican fiscal policies knows no bounds. We have high deficits already; deficits that are threating to drive up inflation and interest rates which would kill the next economic boom before it even happens. Deficits that the Republican party and their tax-cut mantra are responsible for. And now, thanks to two major gulf hurricanes, things are likely to get that much worse. And yet Republicans are still insistent on cutting taxes even further, although there is some debate within the party about whether or not to postpone those tax-cuts. Our ship is sinking and the Republicans are debating whether we should voluntarily take on more water today or tomorrow.

And for all the Bush apologists out there, don’t give me any of this “you can’t hold us responsible for disasters” business. Wars happen, disasters happen, tragedies happen. And when they do, the United States government has a responsibility to act, and those actions are expensive. Intelligent people prepare for disasters. It isn’t so bad for the federal government to have to borrow money. If we had a normal budget for the last few years, instead of opperating deeply in the red, when Kartina and Rita hit we could have borrowed the money to pay for them. The deficit would have shot up because of the one-time disaster payment, and then you pay it off, hopefully before the next one hits. But we can’t do that right now because we’re too much in debt already. If we really are going to follow through with the President’s commitment to Hurricane victims, if the federal government is really going to take an active role in rebuilding Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and whatever parts of Texas are destroyed by Rita, then the government will need to spend quite a bit of money. And thanks to disasterous Republican fiscal policies, that money can’t come only from borrowing, not without doing serious damage to the United States economy.

And don’t try to say that we can simply cut that money from the federal budget. Republicans have been in control of the federal government for five years now, spouting small-government rhetoric the entire time. Any programs that could easily be cut, any “fat” that could easily be trimmed, would have been do so a long time ago. Tom Delay’s reaction has been very telling; he said yesterday that he thought there was plenty of pork in last year’s notorious transportation bill, but that the more than $100 million dollars that he had gotten for his district was vital for the Houston area. We always want government to do less for others and more for us, something for which both Republicans and Democrats are equally guilty. And you know what? Many times the right answer is that government should be doing more for everyone. The United States government is already the smallest, and does the least, of just about any industrialized nation in the world. And given that we are the richest nation in the world, I think we can afford to do a bit more.

We have a fiscal crisis brewing right now. Certainly getting rid of public television isn’t the answer. Nor is further tightening already absurd Medicaid eligibility rules. (I know of a lady whose only income is the bare minimum Social Security payment, less than $10,000 per year, who was informed that she made too much money for some Medicaid programs.) Instead, we need to raise taxes. A lot. And yet you can count on one hand the number of Republicans with both the foresight and the political courage to say that. And sadly, none of them are in the White House.

 

Leadership starts at the top. Perhaps no other bureaucracy in the world can match the United States Department of Defense. There are are extensive, clearly defined chains of command, and every member of that chain knows exactly who to take orders from, when, and how. And yet when wars go badly or when the tactical priorities fall out of line with the political objectives, no president in the history of this country has had any compunction about picking up the phone and demanding immediate change; even if it means redirecting individual planes. Its said that President Lyndon Johnson used to approve each and every bombing target during the Vietnam War. While this may have been a bit excessive, LBJ knew that ultimately the course of the war was his responsibility. A great leader fills important roles with good people and then trusts them to do their jobs. And if that trust is betrayed in a time of crisis, they take over personally until the situation is resolved. He knows that when their are conflicting messages and reports being sent by his subordinates that it is his job to step in and clear-up the situation.

President Bush failed as a leader before Katrina even hit. Michael Brown should never have been hired as FEMA director. Funding for FEMA and for the Army Corps of Engineers should have been taken more seriously. The National Guard should have been put on alert before the Hurricane hit. The President should have cut his vacation short and should have been prepared to call Congress back into session on a moments notice. The president should have made themselves fully aware of FEMA’s plans for a major hurricane hitting New Orleans before the hurricane made landfall. And if those plans didn’t exist, the President should have immediately convened some kind of advisory group of Emergency Management experts to predict and prepare for the worst.

Once the hurricane hit, and it became plainly obvious that no one was taking charge and organizing the federal response, or working to coordinate federal, state, and local responses, the President himself should have stepped into that role. One of FEMA’s jobs is to make sure that everyone is on the same page when it comes to disaster response; and if Michael Brown was not able to fill that role, then the President should have either done it himself or found someone else who would have.

Sadly, three weeks later, we still don’t have any coordination. The Mayor of New Orleans is still making plans and pronouncements that are being immediately contradicted by the National Guard, Coast Guard, and FEMA. Conflicting messages are still being sent to residents and evacuees. There are a lot of people in the Gulf Coast region doing the best that they can to help out, and they should all be commended. But five presidential visits and two national addresses later and the President has still not stepped up and taken responsibility for what’s happening. And I don’t mean issuing vague apologies for things that might have gone wrong. I mean rolling your sleeves up and wading into this whole mess with all of the power and authority that the President of the United States can marshal. The President wants to be a prophet, a visionary, he wants to give us a glimpse of a glorious future that we can build if we just do what he says. That’s perfectly fine for a president once the dust has settled. But right now we don’t need a visionary, we need a leader. We don’t need Samuel the priest and prophet; we need King David.

And now another hurricane approaches. So I wonder, will the President do for Texas what he has not done for Louisiana? Will he finally realize that we need more out of our president that stirring speeches and moving photo-ops? That we need a man who can take this country by the nose and make it do what is best? I hope so. But don’t bet on it.

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