Nov 202009
 

Whatever you think about the mammogram debate right now, the evidence indicates that the mammography tests are broken. The stats that are floating around right now are this: if 1900 women received regular breast cancer screenings during their 40s, exactly one of them would discover a curable cancer that would have otherwise killed them. On the other hand, all of those cancer tests would have detected 1000 false positives.

Or to put it another way, the standard mammography screening has a 99.9% false positive rate, at least for women in their 40s. (It actually might be a little lower than that, given that the tests are likely discovering some number of incurable cancers as well–which technically aren’t false positives.)

I’m sorry, but any test that has a 99.9% false positive rate is a bad test. You have to give me that, even if you think do that saving 1/1900 lives is worth the cost (financial, emotional, etc.) of treating all of those false positives. Surely someone can figure out some way to do better.

Also, on the same subject, here’s another thought: I wonder how a positive on a cancer screening effects the suicide rate for a group, say women in their 40s. In other words, how many people commit suicide after a positive cancer test that otherwise wouldn’t have committed suicide–or to put it another way, how many people die from false positives? It might not be many, but I’d be very surprised if the number were zero.

 

Abortion is a complicated issue. Even the most ardent pro-choice advocates have to deal with the fine line between abortion and infanticide, while the most ardent pro-life advocates have to deal with the fine lines between abortion, contraception, and miscarriage. The current debates focus on ease-of-access debates (government subsidies, parental consent, etc.) none of which have simple answers, at least not for anyone who seeks to be simultaneously compassionate for women stuck making hard choices and their offspring who have no choice in the matter at all (not to mention the even more complicated rights of fathers and the parents of under-age mothers). So generally speaking, I tend not to vote on abortion, other than to respect those who view the subject with both thought and compassion–traits that the most ardent politicians (pro-choice or pro-life) tend to lack.

Case in point: Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley, one of the people running for Ted Kennedy’s old US Senate seat, fully and completely lost my vote yesterday. Continue reading »

Aug 202009
 

Make sure to check out this op-ed in today’s New York Times. The author, John Cougan, is a lawyer for the public commission in Rhode Island that oversees the health care industry. He argues that a huge problem that contributes to the confusion, denial of care, and legal hassle that surround the health care industry is the wording of the contracts themselves.

He begins with a case, for instance, in which a man was denied care and was told that the insurance company was in the process of reviewing the wording of his contract to determine whether a procedure ought to be covered. Translation: the wording was vague and confusing even to the people who wrote the thing. He then quotes several examples of poorly worded, extremely obtuse language found in actual contracts, and discusses how those passages ought to be written to be clear and unambiguous to any modestly educated person literate in standard American English.

Now, I’m not sure if the particular law that he proposes, which is based on grade-level equivalency, is a good idea. But the general idea is right on. Insurance contracts are written with the intention of obscuring the details. This gives the insurance companies flexibility to deny care later on, but it also increases the administrative costs inherent in the system (both parties have to hire lawyers to read and understand the contracts, the ambiguous language leads to increased calls from confused customers), it increases the litigation in the system (as the ambiguity cuts both ways in the language and leads to lawsuits from those denied care), and it’s just a fundamentally unfair practice. Leaving intentional ambiguity in the contracts is also the exact kind of practice that makes sense from the perspective of an insurer trying to protect it’s bottom line, but drives up the health costs of society as a whole.

Contracts that normally literate people can read and understand. An amazing, revolutionary idea. And one that could save society millions of dollars a year.

 

I’m sick of people justifying rude, insensitive, anti-democratic, behavior behind the phrase “grassroots movement”. Just because a movement is supported by quite a few people, doesn’t make the movement any more beneficial or legitimate than a movement that is only supported by a few. In fact, many of the worst tragedies we’ve seen in the last 100 years have been “grassroots” movements.
Continue reading »

 

I hang out in some pretty liberal crowds. And so, in 2004 when Bush was reelected after what felt like four solid years of shocking, undemocratic growth in executive power and an administration more concerned about privacy and loyalty than about real Americans with real problems, a lot of my friends did some pretty strange things. More than one seriously considered emigrating to Canada or Europe. There was fear that Bush was planning on attacking Iran or North Korea, possibly with nuclear weapons, or that the Republicans in Congress would unite to dismantle the social safety net. It was pretty ugly.

And yet basically none of that stuff happened. Continue reading »

© 2012 leftfielder.org login Suffusion theme by Sayontan Sinha